Archive for August, 2008

The Reality and the Weight of History

Sunday, August 31st, 2008

Why the Greek People Cannot Easily Accept FYROM’s Claims Aristide D. Caratzas

 The dispute regarding the official name by which will be known the Former (communist) Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia has appeared to many policymakers from arcane to trivial. Yet its mishandling over the last 15 years, especially the last few months, has resulted consequences which have raised the political cost for some of the world’s major players, and increased tension and the potential for instability in the Balkans, referred to by historians and diplomats as Europe’s “soft underbelly.”

The case in point is the unprecedented defeat of a U.S. President at an annual NATO meeting, in this case the much touted Bucharest Summit this past April: President Bush proclaimed the “strong support” of the United States to the Skopje regime’s bid for NATO membership, only to have it denied under threat of a veto by the Greek Government. Nor did the NATO Secretary-General’s visit to Athens and Skopje after the Summit increase the likelihood of a positive result, while the mediation process currently under the direction of U.S. diplomat Matthew Nimetz finds progress elusive.

Given the complexity of the situation, it is useful to reconsider, or perhaps consider for the first time, some of the elements of this case which make it much harder to resolve than the cursory – and sloppy – assessments of some foreign policy “professionals” have heretofore suggested.

Until now, some of these professionals, especially in Washington, have approached this process mechanistically, hoping somehow that the implicit threat of American displeasure would sway the Greek Government. On one level, they can not be faulted, as the latter has caved many times in the past; however, there is little flexibility on this issue since, after repeated polling over many years, it has become clear that over 85 percent of the Greek public consistently demands a hard line.

I remember a meeting in mid-1992 between then State Department Spokesman (later Ambassador) R. Nicholas Burns and a group of Greek American leaders. In answer to a question about the precedent affecting the European border system which would result from the recognition of the Skopje regime under the name of “Macedonia” (it then had explicit claims on Greek territory, not to mention the history outlined below), Burns slammed his notebook shut and refused to discuss the implications. Some of the Greek American leaders appeared more annoyed with the questioner than with Burns’ evasive little tiff. Yet this question, as does the entire dispute regarding the name of the tenuous statelet, has its foundation in the settlements following the Second World War – in short, in recent history.

In the effort to understand causalities of issues thrust upon the stage of international affairs, it is ironic that diplomats, other foreign policy professionals and political scientists often opt to ignore history. Yet history, the word deriving from the root of the perfect tense of the Greek verb “to know,” literally means “those things that I have come to know.” Thus, on one level, it is simply the accretion of particular knowledge of a phenomenon over time.

It is therefore treacherous to wade into the Balkans, where human experience has been recorded for millennia and folk memories are long, and not be sensitive to recent historical traumas. To be fair, much of the discourse of those most immediately involved has related to realities of the 5th-4th Centuries BC, or cites mythological ethno-ge-netic constructions, which may be obscure to diplomats and policymakers.

Many Greeks argue by making reference to 4,000 years of the Hellenism of Macedonia, while the Skopje regime’s mythology increasingly expands its symbolic pantheon to include Philip of Macedon and Alexander the Great, even though the Slavic culture and language, which are the axes of its purported identity, appeared a little more than a millennium later.

Yet the history which matters most, even if it has largely been ignored so far, refers to recent events, those taking place before, during and after World War II. In the Balkans, these fall into three major categories: the unresolved issues regarding ethnic and linguistic minorities before the War; the Axis occupation and policy of collaboration with minority groups; and the successful shift from collaboration with the Nazis to alliances with communists by some of these minority groups.

In order to set a broader historical context, one need only recall the use of ethnic minorities by the German National Socialist regime to destabilize Eastern Europe in the 1930’s. In practice, that meant that the Nazis encouraged the Sudeten German minority in Czechoslovakia and the German minority in Poland in order to put pressure on those states. The allegations, of what we today would call human rights violations by the Czechs and the Poles provided the justification for the interventions which led first to the collapse of the Czech state, and then to the War when the Germans attacked Poland.

The defeat of the Axis resulted in settlements which effectively ended the claims by minorities, which had collaborated with it. To cite a few prominent examples, over three million Sudeten Germans were expelled from Czechoslovakia; many of their leaders were executed, and virtually all of their properties were seized. The same happened in certain parts of Poland. In Danzig, the name of which was changed to the Polish “Gdansk,” the remnants of Germans were expelled, and their properties were seized. Similar acts took place in other countries which experienced occupation and collaboration of minorities with the enemy.

In Greece, after the Germans invaded in 1941, they established occupation zones for their forces and those of their Italian and Bulgarian allies. In Macedonia (only the Greek province used that name at the time), the German High Command under Field Marshal Sieg-mund List approved of the presence of Slavophone “liaison officers” to be attached to the occupying forces. These were mostly Bulgarian officers, linked to the nationalist group VMRO (Slavic for “Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization”), whose agenda was to mobilize and coordinate the activities of Slavophone inhabitants in Macedonia for the benefit of the Axis occupiers.

The leader of VMRO was Ivan “Vancho” Mihailoff (also transliterated as “Mihailov” in some of the literature), a major figure in the history of Southeast European extremist nationalist movements, though little studied even by experts. Mihailoff had prevailed in the bloody power struggles, which included dozens of assassinations and other terrorist acts, for the leadership of VMRO by 1930. VMRO’s main goal had always been the creation of an independent “Macedonian” state. It had built an extensive network in Bulgaria, which was used to provide financing for the organization, and an operational base from which the offensives into Yugoslavia and Gfeece were conducted

Mihailoff also had close links to Ante Pavelic, whom he assisted in the formation of the Ustashe (the Croatian Nazis, whose ardor and cruelty embarrassed even their German allies), and with Heinrich Himmler, to whom he introduced the Croat leader. Mihailoff cooperated with Pavelic in the spectacular assassination of King Alexander of Yugoslavia in Marseilles in 1934. The triggerman, Vlado Chernozem-ski, a close associate of Mihailoff, had been attached to the Ustashe on his order for the preceding two years. Between 1941 and 1944 Mihailoff settled in Zagreb, using it as his base of operations.

Meanwhile, the region of western Macedonia in Greece was occupied by the Italians, who were still smarting as a result of their defeat by Greek forces on the Albanian frontier. They developed a policy to exploit grievances of linguistic minorities, of which some members of the Slavophone group proved most responsive. This was the result of a visit to Rome by Pavelic, who personally persuaded Mussolini and Ciano of the wisdom of such a policy, and of Mihailoff s intention to implement it. Thus, the Italians were assisted by VMRO, which sent out agents of its irredentist “Kostour (Kastoria) Brotherhood,” headed by Spiro Vasilieff in order to set the foundations.

Detachments of Slavophone volunteers were first formed in 1943, and accompanied Italian units searching for arms from the stores of the retreating Greek forces, which the country people were often hiding. These volunteers joined the Italian-sponsored “Axis-Macedonian-Bulgarian Committee,” which became better known as the “Komitato” (or “Komitet”), first founded in Kastoria by Anton Kaltchev, a Bulgarian officer of Slavo-Macedonian antecedents connected to Mihailoffs VMRO who enjoyed the respect of the Germans. Soon after, a military arm of this organization was formed and came to be known as the “Macedonian-Bulgarian Command,” or less formally as the “Ohrana.”

Led by Kaltchev, the Ohrana was able was able to mobilize significant forces. Bands recruited from Kastoria, Fiorina and Edessa and the surrounding villages – i.e., central and western Macedonia – probably fielded about 5,000 men by mid-1943. These forces assisted the Italians in operations against Greek resistance organizations, and in intimidating and terrorizing the local population opposed to the Axis occupation.

Parallel to these military and “police” activities, Kaltchev also consolidated his control over the Slavophone population of all political inclinations. He interceded with the Germans, for example, in order to free individuals nominally identified with the Left who had been exiled by the Metaxas government. In addition, he penetrated (leftist) EAM, for a time the major Greek resistance organization, by placing his agents in its leadership ranks through SNOF, its Slavophone partner.

The Italian capitulation and withdrawal from the war in the Summer of 1943 would have left the Slavophone Axis collaborators in Greece without a sponsor had it not been for some prescient moves by the aforementioned Ivan Mihailoff. He and his supporters in the Central Committee of VMRO contacted the Germans directly (without the knowledge and authority of the Bulgarian Government). It appears that Mihailoffs plans extended beyond support of the volunteer units to setting the foundations for the creation of an independent “Macedonia” under German protection. It was also anticipated that the VMRO volunteers would form the core of the armed forces of a future independent “Macedonia,” in addition to providing administration, indoctrination and education in the6 Lenn (Fiorina), Kostur (Kastoria) and Voden (Edessa) districts under German control.

Mihailoff traveled to Berlin in early August 1943, when he was received by Reichsfuhrer-SS Himmler at the Sichercheitsdienst (Security Service) headquarters, and also appears to have met with Hitler. Mihailoff apparently received consent to create two to three battalions of volunteers who would be armed and supported by the Germans, and who would be under the command and disposal of Himmler’s organization. There is extensive evidence that Himmler’s office followed through in order to implement the terms of this agreement, appointing SS Major (Hauptbahfiihrer) Heider to coordinate the arming and equipping the VMRO volunteers.
hi March 1944 the village companies of Kastoria were reorganized into militias, and were armed and prepared for service by the Germans and Kaltchev’s loyalists based in and around the villages near Edessa and Florina, also included in this project. After some initial skirmishes with the Greek ELAS resistance forces, beginning on May 4, several VMRO volunteer companies from Kastoria and Edessa participated in the anti-guerrilla “Operation May Thunderstorm,” as part of the “Battle Group Lange” spearheaded by elements the Nazi 4th SS Mechanized Infantry Division.

VMRO also organized three volunteer battalions under its name. They were formed by Slavophone officers sent from Bulgaria to Edessa, where they arrived in June 1944. These officers met with SS Major Heider in order to formalize the implementation of the agreement reached between Mihailoff and Himmler. Thus were formed the 1st VMRO Volunteer Battalion-Kostur (Kastoria), headed by Captain Ivan Motikarov, with the strength of about 500 men; they were armed with machine guns and rifles, and included one sniper company. In the summer of 1944, they were assigned to a reinforced company of the 4th SS Police Mechanized Infantry Division whence, in the words of a military historian, “the civilian population was so afraid of this battle group that their very presence in the area was enough to quiet any civilian protest.”

The 3rd VMRO Volunteer Battal-ion-Voden (Edessa) was headed by Georgi Dimchev and Atanas Pashkov. Dimchev (deemed a hero by VMRO), who was born near Gi-annitsa, and Pashkov proved successful in recruiting over 800 volunteers not only from Edessa, but also from Giannitsa and Goumenissa. They were armed and equipped, and wore on their hats the skull-and crossed bones symbol, which referred to both die Slavo-Macedon-ian revolutionaries and their new allies,Himmler’sSS.
The last to form was the 2nd VMRO Volunteer Battalion-Lerin (Florina), which saw action in the waning weeks of the Axis occupation.

The German forces, assisted by their Slavophone collaborators, launched the last coordinated attack against organized Greek resistance on July 3-17. “Operation Stone Eagle” took place in the northern Pindus area by elements of the 4th SS Division, the 104th Jager Division and the 1st and 2nd VMRO Volunteer Battalions, 12-15 thousand men in total, with the objective of containing elements of the ELAS 8th and 9th Divisions. According to testimonies at the time, the objective was partly achieved.

When the Germans withdrew from Greece and Bulgaria declared war on Germany, the Ohrana and the Slavophone collaborationist effort collapsed. Anton Kaltchev fled Greece, but was apprehended by Yugoslav communist partisans and delivered to ELAS. He ended up in Thessaloniki, where he was tried by the Greek Government for war crimes and was executed.

Many of the Greek Slavophones who had filled the ranks of the VMRO volunteer (i.e., Axis collaborator) units enlisted in the ranks of SNOF, which was created by the Greek Communist Party. After Bulgaria aligned itself with the Soviets, this process accelerated. Thus, Slavophone collaborators found their way to DSE (Demokratikos Stratos Elladas), the military force of the Greek Communist Party, during the civil war in Greece, 1946-49. After the communist defeat, most of those who sided with the Axis, later with the DSE, in the name of “Macedonian” nationalism, were never allowed to return to Greece.

Mihailoff survived the war and settled in Rome, where he died in 1990, a year before the collapse of Yugoslavia. In 1950, he published a book in the United States, “Macedonia: A Switzerland of the Balkans,” in which he proposed the establishment of .what we would today call an independent “multi-cultural” state where the Slavo-Macedonians would have the dominant position in this entity, a thesis which, paradoxically, has been revived by some presently West European “progressives”’ and American liberals.

Mihailoff wrote in the shadow of the People’s Republic of Macedonia, a communist state which had formed by Marshal Tito within the Yugoslav Federation in 1945. He devoted the next 40 years of his life in guiding the nationalist extremists of the Slavo-Macedonian diaspora in the United States, Canada and Australia.

It is ironic, but not altogether surprising, that FYROM, the present successor state to the People’s Republic invented by Tito, is ruled by one of VMRO’s factions. While the Skopje regime formally rejects Mihailoff, it has resumed a not-so-couched irredentist, nationalist and extremist rhetoric reminiscent of the discourse of its collaborationist predecessor-namesake. It draws much of its support from the Slavo-Macedonian diaspora in the U.S., Canada and Australia, the ideological inheritor of Ivan Mihailoff, close friend and ally of Anton Pavelic and Heinrich Himmler.

In this reality, borne of a bitter historical experience, is to be sought the reason for the nearly instinctive reaction of Greek popular feeling (cutting across party lines) against FYROM’s claims, whether as to its name or its revived irredentist claims about minorities and properties.

The Slavo-Macedonian collaborators and their children, who fought twice against the Greek state, should no more expect recompense by that state than the children of the Germans of the Sude-tenland expect from the Czech Republic or those of Danzig from Poland. When they accept that truth, it will be the first step for a genuine rapprochement with the Greek people.

But realism dictates that we should not be optimistic in the short term. Hijacking the name of Macedonia, arbitrarily seizing cultural symbols (e.g., Philip II, Alexander the Great, Saints Cyril and Method-ios, among others) and now claiming “minorities” and properties in Greece as this piece is being written, demonstrates that FYROM Prime Minister Nikola Gruevsky, heading the present-day VMRO, and the Skopjian leadership have inherited Mihailoffs nationalist extremist vision. Unless they sober up, they will reap the whirlwind.

Meanwhile, Bush and those of his supporters in Washington and elsewhere who have been studiedly ignorant until now, should come to understand that the Greek people -supported not only by most Greek Americans, but many other people who experienced the wrath of totalitarian extremists – are not likely to agree to terms proposed by a regime which revives the discourse of its dark past.

__________________————————————-
By Aristide D. Caratzas
Special to The National Herald. Mr. Caratzas, a trained historian, is an academic publisher and international policy consultant based in Athens and Scarsdale, New York.

Crvenkovski interview…… President of FYROM

Saturday, August 30th, 2008
Gruevski Poll Win Has Not Stabilised Macedonia

Branko Crvenkovski
16 June 2008
Fyromian President Branko Crvenkovski tells Ana Petruseva he will help rebuild the centre-left opposition and warns of the dangers of missing key deadlines for EU and NATO integration.
By Ana Petruseva in Skopje

Q: How do you view the election victory of VMRO-DPMNE?

A: People gave their support to [Prime Minister Nikola] Gruevski`s coalition not based on what they had achieved but on the perceptions and hopes they created. The key was a permanent, aggressive campaign by the government … the problem with unfulfilled expectations was dealt with by creating more new hopes of change. Of course, that process can’t last long.

The timing of the elections was chosen to catch the last train before the entire game became clear and the difference between the virtual and real became too visible. I hope the new government now devotes more time to substance than it does to creating a positive media image. No propaganda can endlessly sell a bad product.

Q: Will VMRO-DPMNE’s triumph stabilize matters, such as ethnic issues, the economy, EU-related reforms and foreign affairs issues like the name dispute and recognition of Kosovo?

A: The elections didn’t resolve the big issues. Instead, negative assessments about the regularity of the elections created new ones. The previous parliament’s majority was not so weak, nor the opposition so strong, that reasons for delay in the Euro-Atlantic integrations or the inability to resolve internal problems can be sought in that. The main characteristic of the previous government was to delay resolving all major issues. Now, those problems not only haven’t disappeared but have become even more difficult. Gruevski’s responsibility is now huge. He asked for and won an absolute majority. That means no more excuses, because no one else is to blame.

Q: Why did the Social Democrats, the party you founded, do so badly?

A: The last four years have been marked by a complete lack of continuity with the earlier period of the SDSM’s existence. They gave up a firmly built political identity and brand that the SDSM had represented for years without offering a new one. This confused many members and sympathizers. The opposition also spent a long passive period, based on an estimate that time works for the opposition by default. That was wrong; you need permanent work if you wish to win support in politics.

Finally, the inter-party divisions and confrontations that often took place in the public eye contributed to the state the party is in now. It is normal that a big party has different factions and positions but one of the criteria for successful leadership is that all those groups unite on basic policies and on the joint success of the party.

Q: Will you get involved in sorting out the turmoil?

A: The quick consolidation of the SDSM is necessary for democracy in Macedonia. Without a strong and healthy opposition there can be no responsible behaviour on the part of the parties in power. I’m ready to help in that process, taking into consideration my constitutional limitations as President. I devoted a big part of my life to building up the Social Democrats so can’t be indifferent to what’s happening. In a democracy it is common to lose elections but a party like SDSM cannot be humiliated. Its members and supporters cannot go around with their heads down. The pride of being an SDSM member must be restored.

Q: The elections on June 1 ended with one person dead and major irregularities. Whom do you hold responsible?

A: These were the worst organized elections in Macedonia. VMRO DPMNE disputed my own election as Macedonia’s President in 2004. I would like to remind you that compared to these ones, those polls were positively Scandinavian, winning the kind of international assessments that we can now only dream of.

If Gruevski and his people follow the same logic they would have to invent a much less dignifying term to call themselves than the one they use to address me – “Mister Crvenkovski”.

Responsibility also lies with the political parties and the state institutions, starting with the police who not only failed to act preventively and even allowed themselves to get involved in causing incidents. The damage to our image and international position has been tremendous.

Q: You warned that Macedonia was in danger of missing crucial deadlines if it went to elections. NATO said if the name dispute was resolved by July 9, the country could still join with Albania and Croatia, while the EU set eight benchmarks that had to be completed this summer if Macedonia was to start accession talks.

A: There is no time left now to beat the July 9 deadline. Nor is there any optimism [that the name dispute will be solved] before the finalization of the [November] European Commission annual report, which is prepared in September. Unfortunately, my fears about early elections have come true and we have lost a precious period that was exceptionally important for our European and Atlantic perspectives. We have also missed the opportunity to effectively use the United States to engage in the process in order to find a reasonable solution to the name row.

Q: After the fiasco of the NATO summit Bucharest and numerous declarations that the name talks would continue, we have not seen much progress. How far can Macedonia go to resolve the issue?

A: The issue cannot be solved merely by repeating that we want it solved. We must understand that in this new context Macedonia has to approach the talks very seriously. Our failure in Bucharest has had a great impact on all of us. The new reality is that Macedonia has to make concessions for a so-called double formula if we want to proceed with Euro-Atlantic integrations. But what kind of concessions, and how many concessions, can only be decided by the legitimate representatives of both sides.

Q: What red lines can Macedonia not afford to cross in these talks?

A: I have tried many times to set out some of the elements that we call out national and state interests… Feelings of ethnic and linguistic identity are two fundamental characteristics of a nation, so compromise on those two categories is simply impossible. Nobody has the mandate to negotiate over who we are and what language we speak.

Q: Has Gruevski’s poll win given him room to secure support for a potential compromise with Greece?

A: Before the elections Gruevski had the support to make a rational compromise on the name. The opposition, media and intellectuals all called for a more reasonable approach. I do not expect the election result will have a serious impact on this issue.

Q: But it seems as if the voters rewarded Gruevski for his firm stance on the name issue?

A: If we analyze his rhetoric and the points he made in the campaign, I don’t think it can be qualified as a “firm stance” but only as a way of avoiding defining a personal stance. What was the main point? That there will be a referendum. But neither he nor his party will say what they think about the question of the referendum. He wants to avoid any responsibility and shift responsibility onto the citizens. That is not a firm stance. A firm stand is when you declare something and stand behind it.

Q: So you think there will be a referendum but the government won’t say what it thinks about it?

A: First, a strong majority in parliament will not make him more reasonable or rational in the whole situation. Second, the referendum is something that he doesn’t want to think about, and he made that clear in his campaign. He doesn’t say he wants his proposals confirmed in a referendum. Instead, he says that whatever the proposals are, he will call a referendum and will not influence the people in their decision. That will be a rare situation, in which the government calls a referendum without having a position. That is avoiding responsibility.

If we talk about referendum as the most democratic form of expressing our opinion let’s also draw a comparison with far more democratic societies than ours… votes on referendums in many countries with long democratic traditions can sometimes lead to danger, let alone Macedonia which has so many emotive issues, such as its name, identity, complex ethnic structure with the 20 per cent Albanian population and 10 per cent of other communities such as Turks, Serbs and Roma… on top of which, the government has no stance.

Q: Should Macedonia continue with the current name talks, or try a new strategy?

A: It is in the interest of the Republic of Macedonia to continue the talks with Greece under UN auspices, but we have to adapt our strategy to the new situation. The political and regional strategic context in the Balkans is simply not the same as it was before. Kosovo declared independence, Albania and Croatia joined NATO, and Macedonia didn’t. These events have influenced the regional dynamics.

Q: What are the risks to Macedonia of delaying integration to the EU and NATO?

A: It is not the same if Macedonia enters NATO and EU now, or in five, 10 or 15 years. Many things may happen in the meantime. We already have a new reality in the Balkans… Kosovo is becoming an independent state and Albania is already in NATO. Some analysts say Albania could enter EU before Macedonia. This could open up crucial questions that we thought were closed such as the question of [ethnic] Albanian loyalty to the [Macedonian] state.

Q: You mean Greater Albania?

A: Ideas for “greater” states like greater Albania never die. It is an illusion to think so. The point is to marginalize them by having an organized and successful society and not to let them become key factors. The risk is not whether they will appear; they are already present. It is whether support for their cause will grow increase.

Developments in Kosovo are problematic. On the ground we have a “soft” partition, with Pristina unable to apply its sovereignty over the northern part where there is a Serbian population. If Kosovo is partitioned on ethnic lines, that may encourage such ways of thinking [about greater Albania]. If Kosovo is divided according to this principle, why should it be different in Macedonia, Montenegro or Southern Serbia? So this opens all the other questions. The Kosovars or some of them may think that if they are forced to lose part of their territory, they are entitled to seek compensation elsewhere.

Q: Recognition of Kosovo by Macedonia remains an open issue?

A: One of the first tasks of the new government should be determining its position on Kosovo. In doing so, it will have to consider Macedonia`s state interests as an EU candidate country and the positions of most members of NATO and EU.

Ana Petruseva is BIRN Macedonia country director. Balkan Insight is BIRN`s online publication.

http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/main…1017/?tpid=149

The Quarterly Review 1903

Friday, August 29th, 2008

The people of Turkey……dated 1878

Thursday, August 28th, 2008

People of Turkey 1878

 A cultural struggle between Greeks and Bulgarians in Thrace and Macedonia, with absolutely no mention what so ever of a “Macedonian” ethnicity in 1878.Where are these people where have they been?Why is every book that is written before 1944 never refers to these people as an enthicity??

Oldest samples of writing in Macedonia proves Macedonians wrote and spoke Greek!!!

Wednesday, August 27th, 2008

The Mycenaean graves of Spather/St Demetrios, Pieria were so far the oldest undeniable trace of Hellenic presence in the area, dating back to the 13th century BC.

However, new excavations in the city of Aiani, brought to light the oldest piece of Greek pottery ever found. Some of the pottery dates back to the 14th century BC.Amongst the pottery, some of the oldest samples of writting were found.

Amongst them we have names inscribed like: ?????? and ??????.

According to the video Video: Macedonia: Hellenism in Macedonia from Britannica Concise of the documentary, it is clear that these inscriptions prove that the society of Macedonia, spoke and wrote in Greek.

Innumerable archaelogical finds testify the strong Greek presence in Macedonia are found either in situ in Macedonia or in museums. The earliest Macedonian written documents contain only names. When more extensive Macedonian texts begin to appear, they are expressed in the Attic dialect. This fact furnishes one of the arguments used by those who deny that the Macedonians were Greeks and claim that the Macedonians were a people who spoke a different tongue and who became Hellenized. Those who support the view that the Macedonian were Greeks counter that their kings introduced the attic dialect into the court and the administration because the local dialect was undeveloped. Attic thus became widespread among the Macedonians as a means of expressing themselves in writing. Both these explanations are hypotheses that require proof.
After Pella Katadesmos curse tablet,now one more cat out of the bag has been appeared.

http://macedonianontheweb.blogspot.com/2007/12/oldest-samples-of-writing-in-macedonia.html